Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.088130 0.098156 0.108473 0.119858 0.132040 0.144659 0.158693
2025-01-05 0.071735 0.086768 0.103084 0.121982 0.143142 0.165984 0.192383
2025-01-12 0.059836 0.077996 0.098655 0.123588 0.152556 0.184860 0.223307
2025-01-19 0.050415 0.070458 0.094259 0.124040 0.159744 0.200640 0.250480
2025-01-26 0.047319 0.069863 0.097535 0.133109 0.176746 0.227693 0.290819
2025-02-02 0.041735 0.065344 0.095348 0.135002 0.184771 0.243977 0.318518
2025-02-09 0.037541 0.062078 0.094271 0.137879 0.193713 0.261212 0.347347
2025-02-16 0.032845 0.057556 0.091073 0.137626 0.198428 0.273101 0.369645
2025-02-23 0.031446 0.057508 0.093718 0.144912 0.212710 0.296881 0.406677
2025-03-02 0.029739 0.056790 0.095287 0.150671 0.225010 0.318263 0.440936
2025-03-09 0.025780 0.052218 0.091078 0.148277 0.226393 0.325691 0.457718
2025-03-16 0.021957 0.047417 0.086147 0.144528 0.225684 0.330230 0.470722
2025-03-23 0.020524 0.046523 0.087098 0.149327 0.236934 0.350862 0.505106
2025-03-30 0.018856 0.045077 0.087144 0.152855 0.246597 0.369698 0.537641
2025-04-06 0.017066 0.043206 0.086386 0.155131 0.254538 0.386374 0.567622
2025-04-13 0.015144 0.040839 0.084647 0.155809 0.260175 0.400006 0.593762
2025-04-20 0.015321 0.042498 0.089479 0.166462 0.280050 0.432896 0.645391
2025-04-27 0.013935 0.040902 0.088823 0.168693 0.287926 0.449707 0.676059
2025-05-04 0.012875 0.039828 0.088941 0.172054 0.297418 0.468765 0.709830
2025-05-11 0.011344 0.037540 0.086806 0.171762 0.301533 0.480475 0.733909
2025-05-18 0.011248 0.038393 0.090183 0.180242 0.318577 0.510068 0.782064
2025-05-25 0.010899 0.038623 0.092430 0.186931 0.333042 0.536216 0.825785
2025-06-01 0.009338 0.035779 0.088927 0.184151 0.333311 0.542586 0.842843